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Friday, October 24, 2014

WCSSAA Senior: Playoff Picture

With only one game left on the schedule, there's still a lot to be figured out in terms of the Senior playoff picture.

Here's what I'm projecting:

1.  Grand River
The Rens will be heavily favoured in their finale against WODSS.  A win, and they clinch the top seed overall (and finish a perfect regular season).  Pretty straightforward.

2.  Cameron Heights
This is certainly the biggest question mark.  In fact, if Cameron Heights loses to WCI, they could finish as low as 5th --- depending on the outcome of a three-way tiebreaker which I haven't sorted out just yet.  A win, and they'll likely be second on a head to head  tiebreak (win over Jacob Hespeler).

3.  Jacob Hespeler
The Hawks should defeat Preston in their finale, and then get the tiebreak benefit of their regular season win over Bluevale.  A Cameron loss would bump the Hawks up to second.

4.  Bluevale
The Knights have a win over WCI, which could come into play if the Vikes defeat Cameron.  Based upon this projection, though, I have the Knights in 4th.  They face Elmira in their finale.

5.  WCI
The Vikes certainly control their destiny.  They've locked up the 5th seed, and could move up into first round bye territory (3rd/4th) with a win over the Gaels.

6.  Southwood
The Sabres are safely locked into the #6 spot.  They have a "bye win" in their finale, and will finish at 8-4.

7.  KCI
The Raiders and the Ghosts will play in their regular-season finale, and the winner will get the 7th seed.  KCI has a head-to-head win over the other team they're currently tied with, Elmira.

8.  Elmira
The Lancers have the tough Knights in their finale, but they do have a H2H tiebreak over Galt should both those teams lose.  If the Raiders lose to Galt, Elmira would finish 9th.

9.  Galt
Galt will finish 7th with a win, or 9th with a loss against KCI -- pretty straightforward.

10.  SJAM
The 'Landers have Forest Heights left, which should give them the win they need to secure 10th overall in the standings.

11.  WODSS
A win against FHCI (on Monday - rescheduled game) officially clinched a playoff berth for the Crusaders.  They finish on Tuesday against Grand River.

12.  Huron Heights or Eastwood
There are three teams currently tied for 12th place in the standings, and Preston looks like they have the toughest route to a playoff berth (playing JHSS in their last game).  Whoever wins this one is in, while the loser is out. 

Non-Playoff Teams:

13.  Loser of HHSS/ECI game

14.  Preston

15.  Forest Heights - already eliminated